TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 10:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team, if any, will be leading at halftime in the soccer match between Montevideo City Torque and CS Cienciano. Currently, the consensus probability of Montevideo City Torque leading at halftime is 100.0%, while CS Cienciano leading at halftime is estimated at 0.1%. This prediction aggregates data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on official match statistics, with potential fallback to Flashscore or Sofascore, as defined by the event organizers. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled to conclude by September 18, 2026, to see which team establishes an early advantage.
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between Montevideo City Torque and CS Cienciano, scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The event resolves based on the result of the Cienciano vs Montevideo City professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game scheduled for Sep 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Cienciano win, Montevideo City win, or a tie. A market resolves to Yes if its specified condition is met—Cienciano or Montevideo City winning in regulation, or the game ending in a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regulation time results, excluding extra time or penalties.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and fee structure, which can influence price discovery. Different levels of liquidity and trading activity on each platform also contribute to price variations. Furthermore, the specific types of traders participating on each platform—for example, more sophisticated or casual bettors—can lead to differing interpretations of the available information regarding the Montevideo City Torque vs. CS Cienciano match. These dynamics create opportunities for arbitrage.