TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 11:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Betting interest will center on the margin of victory in the Monterrey vs Chicago Fire match. The outcome hinges on which team wins and by how many goals they win by, focusing exclusively on regulation time.
This event encompasses several markets focused on the spread outcome of the Monterrey vs Chicago Fire professional Leagues Cup soccer match scheduled for August 25, 2026, considering only regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties). Two distinct winning scenarios are evaluated: markets for Monterrey winning by more than 2.5 goals and by more than 1.5 goals, and markets for Chicago Fire winning by more than 1.5 goals and by more than 2.5 goals. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team achieves the required winning margin. As with all markets, Kalshi emphasizes it holds no official connection to the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market reflect the collective wisdom of Kalshi traders, who price in their expectations for the spread outcome based on available information. These odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines, which incorporate bookmaker margins and broader public betting patterns. Sportsbook lines may also shift based on larger betting volumes and different risk models, while Kalshi prices are driven purely by trader activity and can react more quickly to new data or sentiment changes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent the possible outcomes. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate view of participants, with the market’s probability implied by the relative pricing of each side. Volume of $115,669 shows the level of interest and liquidity.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match result and any relevant tie-breaking rules used by the league or governing body.
Injuries to key players, weather updates affecting match conditions, and tactical changes by coaches can all shift expectations for the spread. Strong recent form by either team, especially in similar matchups, may also influence trader sentiment. As Aug 26, 2026 approaches, any last-minute news — such as lineup announcements or venue issues — could cause rapid movements in this market as traders adjust their positions based on new information.