TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 12:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Nikola Bartunkova will complete the match against Elise Mertens at the Monterrey Open. On Polymarket, the current probability that the match will be completed stands at 100.0%, with the probability that it will not be completed at 0.1%. The result will be settled using official scores from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Watch for the match scheduled to conclude by September 5, 2026, as this is the key date that will determine the outcome.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikola Bartunkova and Elise Mertens in the Monterrey Open, originally scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bartunkova' if Nikola Bartunkova advances against Elise Mertens. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Nikola Bartunkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds from this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks set their odds based on analytical models and historical data, prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs and bets of participants. This can lead to variations in implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges or favorite status shifts. Monitoring both can provide a broader perspective on market sentiment and potential value opportunities.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly. Timing aligns with the actual tournament schedule, ensuring that traders have a clear window to assess probabilities before the final decision is locked in based on real-world results.
Injuries, weather conditions, or recent form updates for either competitor can shift probabilities in this market. High-profile media coverage, betting trends on Polymarket, and analyst predictions leading up to the match may also influence trader sentiment. As the event nears, any last-minute changes — such as lineup announcements or venue conditions — could cause rapid price adjustments, reflecting the evolving expectations of participants.