TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 11:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the probability of Lilli Tagger winning against Yulia Starodubtseva by exactly 4.5 points or more in their Monterrey Open match on Polymarket, using official WTA scores for resolution. The current probability for Tagger to win by this margin stands at 50.0%. The match was originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 9:30PM ET, and you should watch for the official match result on that date to determine the resolution.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilli Tagger and Yulia Starodubtseva in the Monterrey Open, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilli Tagger' if Lilli Tagger advances against Yulia Starodubtseva. This market will resolve to 'Yulia Starodubtseva' if Yulia Starodubtseva advances against Lilli Tagger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts, which determines the current implied probability. The top outcome’s chance reflects collective user sentiment, adjusted dynamically by supply and demand. This decentralized pricing captures the community’s forecast for who will win, with volume of $556,489 indicating interest levels.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result aligns with official match reports and widely accepted sports databases, ensuring an objective determination of the winner based on on-court performance and tournament results.
Injuries, weather delays, or surprising form from players can shift this market as the event nears. Key moments like practice sessions, recent match performances, and betting trends may also influence trader sentiment. Any development affecting the athletes’ readiness or likelihood of victory can cause price swings on Polymarket before settlement.