TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 11:51 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Monterey Bay FC and Phoenix Rising will determine whether more than a certain number of goals are scored within the standard 90-minute regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams in the Monterey Bay FC vs Phoenix Rising USL Championship game scheduled for September 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded from the count. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). The markets are independent assessments of scoring volume, with each threshold representing a distinct predictive measure of offensive output in the match.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, driven by individual predictions, can sometimes diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Comparing the two can highlight areas where the crowd believes there's value or mispricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as profitable trades depend on correctly forecasting the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the latest collective assessment of the likely total goals scored.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of goals scored in the Monterey Bay FC vs Phoenix Rising match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine which outcome resolves positively. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Monterey Bay FC or Phoenix Rising would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team tactics or starting lineups, or even significant shifts in public betting sentiment, could all contribute to fluctuations in the contract prices for this market.