TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 10:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This event determines if both Monterey Bay FC and New Mexico United will score in their USL Championship match set for August 8, 2026. The focus is on whether each team scores at least one goal during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with own goals counted toward the scoring team.
If Monterey Bay FC and New Mexico United both score a goal in the Monterey Bay FC vs New Mexico United USL Championship match originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust continuously based on real-time trading activity and volume of $1,238, allowing for dynamic shifts as new information emerges. Sportsbook odds, by contrast, are set by professional oddsmakers and may incorporate broader market factors, including public betting trends and historical data. This difference often results in varying implied probabilities between the two, with prediction markets sometimes showing more volatile or nuanced pricing depending on trader speculation and volume of $1,238.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent the outcomes of whether both teams will score. The current top chance reflects the aggregated belief of participants, adjusting continuously as new information emerges and volume reaches $1,238. This decentralized pricing captures a snapshot of collective expertise and betting patterns unique to the platform.
This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether both teams score at least one goal or point during the match, as recorded by official game statistics and widely accepted sports reporting sources.
Injuries to key offensive players, weather conditions affecting gameplay, or strategic tactical changes could all shift this market as they influence scoring probabilities. Additionally, early goal momentum in the match or crowd support may cause rapid price adjustments. Traders will also watch for any last-minute lineup announcements or referee decisions that might impact attacking approaches from either side.