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$134.1b

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$113,466,932

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2,388,728,490

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$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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Monterey Bay FC vs. Lexington SC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Monterey Bay FC vs. Lexington SC?

Volume:
$74,155

Lexington SC

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 12:07 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lexington SC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$38,348
N/A
N/A
$24,287
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lexington SC

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,469
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Monterey Bay FC

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,339
N/A
N/A
$14,787
Settled
No
polymarket

Monterey Bay FC

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,689
N/A
N/A
$10,460
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Monterey Bay FC vs. Lexington SC)

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a USL Championship soccer match between Monterey Bay FC and Lexington SC scheduled for September 26, 2026. Markets exist for Monterey Bay FC winning, Lexington SC winning, and the game ending in a draw, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Resolution of a canceled game differs between Kalshi and Polymarket, creating a potential arbitrage opportunity or risk.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading these markets. A canceled game will resolve differently on each platform, potentially impacting your portfolio.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, win markets resolve to 'No' and draw markets resolve to 'Yes'. The primary resolution source is official statistics, with fallback to Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus.
  • Kalshi: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, each win/draw market resolves to 'Yes'. The primary resolution source is official statistics, with fallback to Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming USL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, September 26, 2026 between Monterey Bay FC and Lexington SC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Monterey Bay FC vs Lexington SC professional USL Championship soccer game scheduled for September 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Monterey Bay FC wins, the 'Monterey Bay FC' market resolves to Yes. If Lexington SC wins, the 'Lexington SC' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price according to the rules.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Monterey Bay FC vs. Lexington SC match. Currently, the aggregated view shows a consensus around the potential result, with a total volume of $74,155 across both platforms. This allows traders to see how the market is interpreting available information and to compare perspectives from different prediction markets. The dashboard provides a consolidated view of the probabilities and trading volume, offering insights into the collective wisdom of the crowd regarding this sporting event.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets represent the collective beliefs of informed traders. This market’s odds reflect what participants believe will happen, driven by their analysis and potentially insider information. Consequently, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially when significant public information isn't fully reflected in sportsbook lines. The current volume of $74,155 suggests active trading and evolving sentiment.