TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Montenegro vs. Ukraine
polymarket
kalshi

Montenegro vs. Ukraine

Volume:
$218,187

Ukraine

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 4:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ukraine

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$128,886
N/A
N/A
$66,481
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ukraine (-6.5)

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 152.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Montenegro

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$81,033
N/A
N/A
$46,719
Settled
No
polymarket

Montenegro vs. Ukraine

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Montenegro and Ukraine. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome, Spread: Ukraine (-6.5), is 100.0% across Polymarket and Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by the official results published at fiba.basketball. The key catalyst to watch is the game itself, scheduled for August 31, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market structure mismatch between binary outcome (Polymarket) and Yes/No format (Kalshi)Hero tip: Traders should carefully consider the different market structures when positioning, as they resolve differently even though they reference the same game outcome

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary outcome market resolving to Montenegro or Ukraine based on winner, with specific rules for postponement and cancellation - 'If the Montenegro win, the market will resolve to "Montenegro". If the Ukraine win, the market will resolve to "Ukraine". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Yes/No market resolving to Yes if either team wins - 'If Montenegro wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Ukraine wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for August 31 at 6:00AM ET: If the Montenegro win, the market will resolve to "Montenegro". If the Ukraine win, the market will resolve to "Ukraine". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Markets resolve based on the winning team in the Ukraine vs Montenegro men’s professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game scheduled for August 31, 2026, at 2:30 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, markets stay open and resolve according to the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not connected to the governing league, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.