TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Montenegro vs. Cyprus
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Montenegro vs. Cyprus?

Volume:
$902,232

Montenegro

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 4:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Montenegro

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$310,489
N/A
N/A
$169,176
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Montenegro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$170,630
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

MON

View
99%
44%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$16,245
$61,328
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

CYP

View
1%
19%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$160
$7,760
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cyprus

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$146,166
N/A
N/A
$88,898
Settled
No
polymarket

Cyprus

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87,265
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$83
$3,175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94,539
N/A
N/A
$52,207
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Montenegro vs. Cyprus)

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,880
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether Montenegro will win its UEFA Nations League soccer match against Cyprus on September 25, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Montenegro winning is 100.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA). Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on September 25, 2026, to see if this consensus holds as the game unfolds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same timeframe (90 minutes + stoppage time) and have consistent fallback procedures for data availability and game cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA).

Core resolution logic:

  • Montenegro/Cyprus win markets resolve to 'Yes' if their respective team wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Draw market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no data is available within 24 hours, markets resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official statistics (or fallback sources) confirm the match result, with a maximum delay of 24 hours after the event's conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Friday, September 25, 2026 between Montenegro and Cyprus.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Montenegro vs Cyprus UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for either Montenegro or Cyprus occurs only if that team secures a victory within regular time; a tied score resolves the 'Tie' market as 'Yes.' If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets exclusively consider results from regular time and do not account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Friday, September 25, 2026 between Montenegro and Cyprus.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and to balance their risk, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of many individuals. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. It’s possible to find value by comparing the implied probabilities from both sources and identifying potential mispricings. However, it's important to remember that both prediction markets and sportsbooks have their own strengths and weaknesses.

Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Kalshi due to variations in trader demographics, liquidity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and predictive insights, which can lead to differing valuations. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform – currently $902,232 overall – influences price discovery. Any discrepancies in how each platform handles fees or allows for order types can also contribute to price divergence. These factors combine to create potentially different probabilities for the same event across venues.