TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 1, 3:30 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Montenegro wins by 2 or more goals against Bulgaria during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 1, 2026, 16:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Pricing on Limitless reflects the collective assessment of traders wagering on whether Montenegro will win by exactly 2 goals or more. The market price—expressed as an implied probability—updates continuously as new trades execute. Traders buy shares if they believe the outcome is underpriced and sell if they see overvalue. Factors like team form, head-to-head history, and recent goal-scoring patterns influence the price discovery process. The current odds represent the marginal trader's view at any given moment, and depth in the order book indicates confidence or uncertainty around the consensus level.
The market resolves on Jun 2, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final score of the Montenegro vs Bulgaria match. The outcome will be confirmed as YES if Montenegro wins by a margin of 2 or more goals, and NO if the result is any other outcome—including a draw, a Montenegro win by exactly 1 goal, or a Bulgaria victory. Official match records from the governing football authority will be used to settle the market. Once the final whistle sounds and the score is official, the market will close and payouts will be distributed to holders of the winning shares.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form in qualifying or friendly matches. Goal-scoring trends—whether Montenegro has been prolific or Bulgaria's defense vulnerable—will influence trader positioning. Head-to-head history and home-field advantage matter significantly in football prediction markets. Betting market moves on sportsbooks can signal sharp money and trigger repricing on Limitless. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late tactical adjustments announced before kickoff may also shift odds. Social media sentiment and analyst commentary can amplify or dampen conviction, especially if unexpected roster changes or controversy emerge close to the Jun 2, 2026 match time.