TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 6:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting exactly which round Montel Jackson or Ricky Simon will secure a decisive victory via knockout, technical knockout, submission, or disqualification in their scheduled UFC Fight Night bout. Outcomes also include scenarios where the fight concludes by decision, draw, or no contest across all rounds.
The event determines whether Montel Jackson or Ricky Simon will achieve a victory through knockout (KO), technical knockout (TKO), submission, or disqualification (DQ) within a specific round of their scheduled UFC Fight Night match on September 26, 2026. There are six markets dedicated to each fighter winning in Rounds 1, 2, or 3 through one of these methods. A seventh market covers outcomes where the fight ends by decision, draw, or no contest. For settlement, a technical decision is treated as a decision and resolves to the “Decision / Draw / No Contest” market, with no round-specific victory credited. The markets are independent; only the specific round and method of victory indicated in each market’s conditions will resolve as 'Yes.' Any discrepancy—such as a win by decision or technical decision—will resolve only the relevant decision/draw/no contest market, not any round-specific win markets. The fight must occur as scheduled; any postponement or cancellation results in all markets resolving as 'No.' Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds can differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the fight’s outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than traditional sportsbooks, potentially offering different value for informed traders. The dynamic nature of this market means odds are constantly adjusting based on participant activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the fight. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a consensus view. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity directly influence the price, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism. This allows participants to express their beliefs and profit from correctly anticipating the outcome of the Jackson vs. Simon fight.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Montel Jackson versus Ricky Simon fight, as declared by the relevant sanctioning body. The market will determine which fighter is declared the winner of the bout. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will not. The resolution process ensures a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift market sentiment. Unexpected betting trends in traditional sportsbooks might also impact trading behavior. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and updated fight previews could sway traders’ opinions. A significant shift in public perception of either fighter’s chances, driven by media coverage or social media discussions, could also lead to notable price movements in this market before Sep 27, 2026.