TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 1:34 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential in a college football game between Montana and UC Davis. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. The outcomes are determined by the final score of the game, with various thresholds defining success for each market.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Montana vs UC Davis college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For markets where UC Davis is the favorite, resolution occurs if UC Davis wins by exceeding the specified point margin. Conversely, markets favoring Montana resolve if Montana wins by more than the stated margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the days leading up to an event. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to attract action, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust their expectations based on information and analysis. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move faster to react to breaking news, and may offer different types of wagers not available here. It's always wise to compare both to gain a comprehensive view of the expected outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Montana will cover the spread. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of the market's expectations, influenced by various factors like team news, injuries, and expert analysis.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the final spread result of the Montana vs UC Davis football game. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine whether Montana covered the spread, and thus which contracts will pay out. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and settlement details on Kalshi following the game's conclusion.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Montana or UC Davis would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also play a role. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or updated power rankings, could lead to changes in trading activity and the price of contracts in this market.