TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 12:43 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the point differential in the first half of an upcoming college football game, offering various thresholds for how much one team might outscore the other before halftime.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Montana vs Oregon St. college football game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team meets or exceeds the specified point differential threshold within that timeframe. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final first-half result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty created by the cancellation or significant delay.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price variations between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Montana vs Oregon State spread. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts indicating they believe Montana will cover the spread, the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Montana vs Oregon State football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on the losing side will receive nothing. The final result will be clearly displayed on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Montana or Oregon State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also impact the spread. Additionally, large trading volume from informed bettors or institutional investors could shift the market price. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role, though to a lesser extent than concrete developments.