TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Montana St. vs Nevada: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Montana St. vs Nevada?

Volume:
$726,449

Montana St. wins by over 3.5 points

 - Kalshi

Montana St. wins by over 3.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 1:59 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Montana St. wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$118,560
N/A
N/A
$94,495
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Montana St. wins by over 4.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$96,240
N/A
N/A
$73,533
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Montana St. wins by over 10.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$40,280
N/A
N/A
$18,844
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Montana St. wins by over 9.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28,440
N/A
N/A
$15,986
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Montana St. wins by over 5.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23,185
N/A
N/A
$17,777
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Montana St. wins by over 2.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$21,561
N/A
N/A
$14,702
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Montana St. wins by over 11.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,483
N/A
N/A
$11,007
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Montana St. wins by over 6.5 points

100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,948
N/A
N/A
$9,534
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Montana St. wins by over 7.5 points

100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,607
N/A
N/A
$11,757
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Montana St. wins by over 1.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,812
N/A
N/A
$6,817
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Montana St. wins by over 17.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$83,814
N/A
N/A
$48,013
Settled
No
kalshi

Montana St. wins by over 20.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$69,750
N/A
N/A
$53,096
Settled
No
kalshi

Montana St. wins by over 13.5 points

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44,824
N/A
N/A
$24,702
Settled
No
kalshi

Montana St. wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,700
N/A
N/A
$25,999
Settled
No
kalshi

Montana St. wins by over 16.5 points

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,715
N/A
N/A
$14,632
Settled
No
kalshi

Montana St. wins by over 23.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,297
N/A
N/A
$13,245
Settled
No
kalshi

Nevada wins by over 17.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,899
N/A
N/A
$10,302
Settled
No
kalshi

Nevada wins by over 13.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,962
N/A
N/A
$5,998
Settled
No
kalshi

Montana St. wins by over 26.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,322
N/A
N/A
$5,620
Settled
No
kalshi

Nevada wins by over 1.5 points

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,544
N/A
N/A
$4,445
Settled
No
kalshi

Nevada wins by over 2.5 points

0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,182
N/A
N/A
$2,592
Settled
No
kalshi

Montana St. wins by over 32.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,770
N/A
N/A
$2,767
Settled
No
kalshi

Nevada wins by over 4.5 points

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,622
N/A
N/A
$2,497
Settled
No
kalshi

Nevada wins by over 5.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,599
N/A
N/A
$904
Settled
No
kalshi

Montana St. wins by over 29.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,315
N/A
N/A
$1,315
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 33

Intro

This market tracks whether Montana State will win their college football game against Nevada by more than 2.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 96.0% probability to Montana State winning by over 2.5 points. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Montana St. vs Nevada college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, as reported by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Montana St. wins by more than 16.5 points, with final resolution expected around September 13, 2026.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Montana St. vs Nevada college football game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. If Montana St. wins by exceeding the specified point threshold in any market labeled 'Montana St. wins by over X points,' that market resolves to Yes; if Nevada wins by exceeding its respective threshold in markets labeled 'Nevada wins by over X points,' those resolve to Yes. All markets share identical secondary rules: if the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve per the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment regardless of game timing uncertainties.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Montana State vs Nevada spread tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume of $684,555, and the total volume traded to date, which is currently $726,449. You can also view a price history chart to see how the market has moved over time. This allows traders to analyze market sentiment and make informed decisions about whether to buy or sell contracts representing their predictions on the final point spread of the game.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially as game day approaches, as traders react quickly to news and analysis.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Montana State vs Nevada spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts indicating a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast of the game's outcome. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions as they profit from correctly anticipating the final spread.

This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the actual spread will be worth 100, while those predicting a different spread will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution of this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. News regarding key player injuries on either the Montana State or Nevada teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift the market. Late-breaking analysis from sports analysts and public betting trends can also impact trader sentiment and therefore the price. Any significant information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of winning by a certain margin has the potential to move this market.