TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.7b

24H VOL:

$133,465,234

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,799,919,006

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,789,144,443

499,910

Markets across

37,496

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,829

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Montana St. vs Idaho
kalshi

What is the result of Montana St. vs Idaho?

Volume:
$18,532,763

Idaho

 - Kalshi

Idaho - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 2:14 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Idaho

View
100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,942,272
N/A
N/A
$4,216,719
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Montana St.

0%
86%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,590,491
N/A
N/A
$3,216,874
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether Montana State will win its college football game against Idaho. Currently, Kalshi gives Montana State a 93.0% probability of winning, while Idaho is at 9.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Montana St. vs Idaho college football game originally scheduled for Oct 2, 2026, as reported by the game’s official result. Keep a close eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Idaho wins the contest originally scheduled for October 2, 2026.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Montana St. vs Idaho college football game scheduled for October 2, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains active and resolves according to the final outcome. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying levels of analysis. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate that the crowd perceives something that sportsbooks haven't fully accounted for, or vice versa. It's a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The current price indicates the market's assessment of the likelihood of each team winning, and traders can capitalize on perceived mispricings by buying low and selling high. The market's depth and volume provide insights into the level of confidence in each outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Montana State vs Idaho game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their positions. It’s important to note that the outcome is determined by the real-world event, not by any subjective judgment or intermediary. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.

Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could all shift the odds. Significant weather forecasts impacting game conditions are also likely to move the market. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role, especially if it deviates from initial expectations. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to create trading activity and affect the prices in this market.