TOTAL VOLUME:
$139.1b
24H VOL:
$140,881,811
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,525,689,812
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,593,041,412
479,659
Markets across
37,354
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,909
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:14 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Montana State will win its college football game against Idaho. Currently, Kalshi gives Montana State a 93.0% probability of winning, while Idaho is at 9.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Montana St. vs Idaho college football game originally scheduled for Oct 2, 2026, as reported by the game’s official result. Keep a close eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Idaho wins the contest originally scheduled for October 2, 2026.
The market resolves based on the result of the Montana St. vs Idaho college football game scheduled for October 2, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains active and resolves according to the final outcome. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The current price indicates the market's assessment of the likelihood of each team winning, and traders can capitalize on perceived mispricings by buying low and selling high. The market's depth and volume provide insights into the level of confidence in each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Montana State vs Idaho game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their positions. It’s important to note that the outcome is determined by the real-world event, not by any subjective judgment or intermediary. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could all shift the odds. Significant weather forecasts impacting game conditions are also likely to move the market. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role, especially if it deviates from initial expectations. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to create trading activity and affect the prices in this market.