TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Montana Grizzlies vs. Idaho State Bengals
Volume:
$1,065,835
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between the Montana Grizzlies and Idaho State Bengals scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total points scored across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms resolve based on the final game score including overtime, with consistent treatment of postponements and cancellations (50-50 split for no makeup game).
Primary resolution logic:
NCAA official final score and box scoreCore resolution logic:
- Moneyline: Montana Grizzlies win resolves to Montana; Idaho State Bengals win resolves to Idaho State
- Spread -1.5: Montana wins by 2+ points resolves to Montana; otherwise Idaho State
- Spread -2.5: Montana wins by 3+ points resolves to Montana; otherwise Idaho State
- Over/Under 149.5: Combined score 150+ resolves Over; below 150 resolves Under
- Over/Under 150.5: Combined score 151+ resolves Over; below 151 resolves Under
- All resolutions include overtime periods in final score calculation
- Game postponement: markets remain open until game completion
- Game cancellation with no makeup: Polymarket resolves 50-50; Kalshi moneyline lacks explicit cancellation clause
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Both platforms keep markets open until the game is completed on a future date
- Cancellation without makeup: Polymarket explicitly resolves 50-50; Kalshi does not provide explicit guidance but moneyline structure implies no resolution path
- Overtime: All final scores include overtime periods; no separate overtime markets detected
- Spread tie scenarios: Spread -1.5: Montana must win by exactly 2+ to resolve Yes; 1-point win or loss resolves to Idaho State. Spread -2.5: Montana must win by exactly 3+ to resolve Yes; 1-2 point win or any loss resolves to Idaho State
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the final official NCAA score is recorded on February 19, 2026 (or rescheduled date if postponed)Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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