TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory for Western Michigan in their upcoming college football game against Monmouth. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively Western Michigan might win.
The markets resolve based on the point differential by which Western Michigan wins the college football game against Monmouth, scheduled for September 12, 2026. For each market, if Western Michigan's victory exceeds the specified point spread, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all team names and logos remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news breaks or as public sentiment shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook lines can provide a broader perspective on the expected outcome of the Monmouth vs Western Michigan game, and potentially identify value in either the prediction market or sportsbook.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Monmouth vs Western Michigan spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the spread. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the game’s likely result. The current volume indicates the level of interest in this particular market.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Monmouth vs Western Michigan game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football, and will determine whether Monmouth covered the spread or not. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake. The final spread will be the determining factor for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting game conditions are also a potential catalyst. Publicly released analysis from sports analysts and updated betting lines from sportsbooks could also influence trader behavior. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could indicate a change in expectations and cause the price to move rapidly.