TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Monaco vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
Volume:
$131,484
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Euroleague basketball game between AS Monaco and ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne scheduled for April 8, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT. The markets track the outcome of this single match, with resolution dependent on which team wins the game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Monaco win and ASVEL win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses correct binary logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic is broken and will create settlement disputes. Polymarket's market is the only tradeable version with valid resolution criteria.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market structure maps both Monaco win and ASVEL win to Yes resolution. This is a logical contradiction that prevents proper settlement. Quote: 'If ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne wins...resolves to Yes. If AS Monaco wins...resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Binary outcome structure: Monaco win resolves to Monaco, ASVEL win resolves to ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne. Includes postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) edge cases. Quote: 'If the Monaco win, the market will resolve to Monaco. If the ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne win, the market will resolve to ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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