TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Molde FK and SK Brann, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Molde FK" if Molde FK score more goals than SK Brann in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Molde FK and SK Brann score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Brann" if SK Brann score more goals than Molde FK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Molde FK and SK Brann, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Molde FK" if Molde FK score more goals than SK Brann in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Molde FK and SK Brann score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Brann" if SK Brann score more goals than Molde FK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven by traders seeking profit through accurate forecasting. This market may price the second-half outcome differently than a typical sportsbook, depending on which side attracts more informed traders. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd believes edge exists, though neither is inherently more accurate than the other.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on buy and sell pressure. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the aggregate belief of all participants holding positions in this market. As traders buy shares of a particular outcome, the price rises and the implied probability increases; conversely, selling pressure lowers it. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information and trader conviction throughout the trading window.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift expectations for second-half performance before kickoff. Early first-half momentum and scoreline may influence how traders reassess the likelihood of each outcome once play begins. Tactical adjustments, substitutions, and in-game events like red cards or injuries during the first half will likely trigger repricing as the second half approaches. Weather conditions, crowd factors, and recent form updates can also influence trader positioning and cause price swings leading up to and during the match.