TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Molde FK and SK Brann, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Molde FK vs. SK Brann match originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Molde FK and SK Brann, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Molde FK vs. SK Brann match originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs. For an exact-score market, prediction odds may price in subtler team form, injury updates, or tactical adjustments that sportsbooks haven't fully repriced. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value that bookmakers may have missed.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact-score outcome through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism, where the cost to buy a share reflects the current probability assigned by the pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As match day nears and new information emerges—team news, weather, or recent form—traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. The more capital flowing into a particular scoreline, the higher its price climbs, and vice versa, creating a continuous price discovery process.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the Molde FK vs. SK Brann match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals each team scores during regular time. Traders holding shares in the correct scoreline receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Resolution happens automatically once the result is confirmed and integrated into the platform.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes that alter tactical expectations. Recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings can shift trader sentiment as the match draws closer. Weather conditions and venue factors may also influence scoring patterns. Late-breaking developments—such as a player suspension or unexpected roster move—often trigger sharp repricing. As kickoff approaches, the market typically tightens around the most likely scorelines based on accumulated information.