TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 3:02 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Molde FK and Sarpsborg 08 FF, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF match originally scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Molde FK and Sarpsborg 08 FF, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF match originally scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and aim to balance action on both sides for profit; prediction markets let traders freely set prices through supply and demand. This market aggregates the beliefs of many independent traders rather than relying on a single operator's model. Over time, prediction markets can reveal information that sportsbooks have not yet priced in, particularly as new data emerges closer to kickoff. Comparing the two can highlight where public opinion and professional oddsmakers disagree on the likelihood of each exact score.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on the volume and direction of trades. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy shares representing each possible exact scoreline, and the price of each outcome moves inversely to demand—higher demand raises the price, lower demand lowers it. The system ensures continuous liquidity by algorithmically repricing all outcomes whenever a trade occurs. This dynamic pricing model encourages traders to act on their forecasts early, as prices shift in real time. The most heavily traded outcomes typically reflect the market's highest conviction predictions.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the Molde vs. Sarpsborg fixture concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular play, verified against credible public reporting of the match result. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score receive their payout, while all other outcomes expire worthless. The resolution process is automated once the result is publicly available and confirmed by the platform. Early resolution is possible if the match is abandoned or postponed beyond the market's end date.
Several factors can shift prices in this market before kickoff. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers repricing as traders reassess the likelihood of specific scorelines. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions at the venue can all influence expectations about goal-scoring patterns. As match day approaches, late-breaking information such as confirmed lineups or unexpected absences typically generates sharp trading activity. Once the match begins, live score updates will cause dramatic repricing, with early goals or red cards shifting the odds for remaining exact-score outcomes. Traders monitor all these signals to time their entries and exits.