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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 7:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Scott Taylor and Francesco Basili in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for September 21 at 5:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Scott Taylor' if Scott Taylor wins against Francesco Basili. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Basili' if Francesco Basili wins against Scott Taylor. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Scott Taylor and Francesco Basili in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for September 21 at 5:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Scott Taylor' if Scott Taylor wins against Francesco Basili. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Basili' if Francesco Basili wins against Scott Taylor. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market allows for continuous adjustment based on the collective intelligence of traders, potentially leading to more accurate predictions as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a dynamic and responsive market for forecasting the result of the Taylor vs Basili match.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MODUS Super Series match between Scott Taylor and Francesco Basili, as reported by the governing body or official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form, or strategic adjustments could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions or venue could also play a role. Public endorsements or analysis from respected commentators could also impact the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential price movements in this market.