TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 10:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Noa-Lynn van Leuven and Mark Layton in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for September 4 at 8:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noa-Lynn van Leuven' if Noa-Lynn van Leuven wins against Mark Layton. This market will resolve to 'Mark Layton' if Mark Layton wins against Noa-Lynn van Leuven. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Noa-Lynn van Leuven and Mark Layton in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for September 4 at 8:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noa-Lynn van Leuven' if Noa-Lynn van Leuven wins against Mark Layton. This market will resolve to 'Mark Layton' if Mark Layton wins against Noa-Lynn van Leuven. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the diverse perspectives of many traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that prediction markets are often more liquid closer to the event, potentially aligning with sportsbook pricing as more information becomes available and the event nears.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MODUS Super Series match between Noa-Lynn van Leuven and Mark Layton. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on publicly available and verifiable information regarding the match's completion and the official score. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and the outcome is confirmed.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 11, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing strategy could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might lead to changes in trading volume and price. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the MODUS Super Series match has the potential to move this market.