TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 8:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Nico Plovier and Michael Wiles in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for September 28 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nico Plovier' if Nico Plovier wins against Michael Wiles. This market will resolve to 'Michael Wiles' if Michael Wiles wins against Nico Plovier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Nico Plovier and Michael Wiles in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for September 28 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nico Plovier' if Nico Plovier wins against Michael Wiles. This market will resolve to 'Michael Wiles' if Michael Wiles wins against Nico Plovier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price can fluctuate significantly based on news, analysis, and overall trading activity, providing a dynamic representation of expectations. This creates a real-time assessment of the potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MODUS Super Series darts match between Nico Plovier and Michael Wiles. This includes verifying the winner as declared by the official tournament organizers. Any disputes or ambiguities will be resolved using widely accepted sources of information regarding the match's final result, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes to their playing strategies could have a significant impact. Pre-match analysis from darts experts and commentators could also sway trader sentiment. Unexpected developments during the match itself, such as a player experiencing a sudden performance dip, would likely cause rapid price adjustments. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning has the potential to move this market considerably before Oct 5, 2026.