TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 9:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Kai Fan Leung and David Evans in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for September 14 at 6:25AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kai Fan Leung' if Kai Fan Leung wins against David Evans. This market will resolve to 'David Evans' if David Evans wins against Kai Fan Leung. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Kai Fan Leung and David Evans in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for September 14 at 6:25AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kai Fan Leung' if Kai Fan Leung wins against David Evans. This market will resolve to 'David Evans' if David Evans wins against Kai Fan Leung. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the athletes' capabilities. If a significant difference exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate an opportunity for arbitrage or a disagreement about the likely result of the Kai Fan Leung vs David Evans match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kai Fan Leung vs David Evans match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates the market's aggregate expectation for the match’s conclusion.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kai Fan Leung vs David Evans match, as determined by the governing body of the MODUS Super Series. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to established sporting regulations. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 21, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches featuring either Kai Fan Leung or David Evans might also shift market sentiment. Public statements from analysts or experts offering their predictions could also contribute to price fluctuations, as traders incorporate this new information into their assessments of the match’s likely outcome.