TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 8:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Kai Fan Leung and Benito van de Pas in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for September 15 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kai Fan Leung' if Kai Fan Leung wins against Benito van de Pas. This market will resolve to 'Benito van de Pas' if Benito van de Pas wins against Kai Fan Leung. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Kai Fan Leung and Benito van de Pas in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for September 15 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kai Fan Leung' if Kai Fan Leung wins against Benito van de Pas. This market will resolve to 'Benito van de Pas' if Benito van de Pas wins against Kai Fan Leung. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders, theoretically leading to more accurate probabilities, though discrepancies can occur. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event. Analyzing these differences can reveal valuable insights into market expectations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates the collective forecast for the Kai Fan Leung vs Benito van de Pas match.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kai Fan Leung vs Benito van de Pas match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for timely updates as the event approaches and concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Kai Fan Leung or Benito van de Pas could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions, such as venue changes or weather forecasts, might also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or broader tournament results could indirectly impact expectations and cause price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential price movements.