TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 8:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Jim Widmayer and Robert Thornton in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for September 28 at 6:25AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jim Widmayer' if Jim Widmayer wins against Robert Thornton. This market will resolve to 'Robert Thornton' if Robert Thornton wins against Jim Widmayer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Jim Widmayer and Robert Thornton in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for September 28 at 6:25AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jim Widmayer' if Jim Widmayer wins against Robert Thornton. This market will resolve to 'Robert Thornton' if Robert Thornton wins against Jim Widmayer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to unexpected developments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time estimation of the event's likelihood. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding the potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Widmayer vs Thornton match as reported by the governing body of the MODUS Super Series. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result of the competition.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in their playing style could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the Widmayer vs Thornton match could also impact expectations. Furthermore, significant public endorsements or analysis from darts experts might sway opinions and drive trading activity. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to cause movement in this market.