TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 11:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Francesco Basili and Jake Neale in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for September 25 at 9:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Basili' if Francesco Basili wins against Jake Neale. This market will resolve to 'Jake Neale' if Jake Neale wins against Francesco Basili. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Francesco Basili and Jake Neale in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for September 25 at 9:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Basili' if Francesco Basili wins against Jake Neale. This market will resolve to 'Jake Neale' if Jake Neale wins against Francesco Basili. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analyses, while this market’s odds are determined by traders who are actively buying and selling contracts. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or changes in perceived probabilities than sportsbooks, although both aim to accurately forecast the outcome of the Basili vs Neale match.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Basili vs Neale match as declared by the governing body of the MODUS Super Series. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding the winning contract will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 2, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Francesco Basili or Jake Neale could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or the overall tournament structure could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations. Monitoring news sources and observing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.