TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 11:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Francesco Basili and Chuck Puleo in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for September 21 at 6:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Basili' if Francesco Basili wins against Chuck Puleo. This market will resolve to 'Chuck Puleo' if Chuck Puleo wins against Francesco Basili. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Francesco Basili and Chuck Puleo in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for September 21 at 6:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Basili' if Francesco Basili wins against Chuck Puleo. This market will resolve to 'Chuck Puleo' if Chuck Puleo wins against Francesco Basili. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate differing levels of information or biases between the two groups. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks in accuracy, particularly when a large and informed trading volume exists, as is the case with a volume of $322.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders, and fluctuations are driven by supply and demand. A higher price indicates greater confidence in an outcome, while a lower price suggests less certainty. The market’s efficiency is dependent on active participation and the availability of relevant information.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MODUS Super Series match between Francesco Basili and Chuck Puleo. Any official announcement regarding the match’s winner will serve as the basis for determining the outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of the final result and its implications for the market’s settlement.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly impact the odds. Public statements from either player or their teams, analysis from sports commentators, and even shifts in betting patterns on other platforms could all serve as catalysts for price movement. A significant upset in a similar match, or unexpected developments in the broader MODUS Super Series competition, could also influence traders’ perceptions and shift the market’s direction. With a volume of $322, the market is sensitive to new information.