TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 12:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Andy Hamilton and Justin Smith in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for September 4 at 9:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andy Hamilton' if Andy Hamilton wins against Justin Smith. This market will resolve to 'Justin Smith' if Justin Smith wins against Andy Hamilton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Andy Hamilton and Justin Smith in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for September 4 at 9:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andy Hamilton' if Andy Hamilton wins against Justin Smith. This market will resolve to 'Justin Smith' if Justin Smith wins against Andy Hamilton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual bettors. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket. This can lead to prediction market odds diverging from sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It's a fascinating comparison to observe.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards another outcome, the price of those shares will increase while the original shares decrease. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MODUS Super Series match between Andy Hamilton and Justin Smith. Any official result announced by the tournament organizers will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will be the basis for settling all outstanding shares. The platform will then distribute payouts accordingly.
Several signals could influence this market before Sep 11, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or recent performance in other matches could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about their playing style or strategy could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in darts forums or social media, can also play a role, though to a lesser extent. Finally, any major upsets in other matches within the MODUS Super Series could indirectly affect the perceived probabilities for the Hamilton vs Smith match.