TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Modena FC 2018 vs. Spezia Calcio
Volume:
$70,142
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between Modena FC 2018 and Spezia Calcio scheduled for March 13, 2026. Three markets track the possible outcomes: Modena win, Spezia win, and draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market includes a cancellation-resolves-YES clause that contradicts Kalshi's tie market, which only resolves YES on actual match tie. This creates platform-specific settlement risk in cancellation scenarios.Hero Tip:
Track official Serie B (Lega Serie B) announcements closely. If cancellation is announced, expect Polymarket draw YES and Kalshi tie NO/unresolved. Consider hedging across platforms or clarifying cancellation rules with support before March 13, 2026.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Modena win, Spezia win, draw). Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up. Resolution source is official governing body stats within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
- Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets (Modena win, Spezia win, Tie). Each resolves YES only if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Implicitly, cancellation would not trigger a YES resolution for the tie market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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