TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 5:38 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Serie B game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:30 PM ET.
More markets for the Serie B game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:30 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. As more information becomes available and more people participate, the odds on Polymarket may converge with or diverge from sportsbook odds, depending on differing perspectives. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more nuanced probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, particularly as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Modena vs Empoli match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price, suggesting decreasing confidence. This dynamic process creates a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Modena vs Empoli match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant pre-match analysis from sports analysts, or even public opinion expressed on social media, could also contribute to price movements. Unexpected news related to either team's performance in other recent matches could also impact trading activity. Monitoring these signals and events can provide insights into potential shifts in the market's probability assessment.