TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 5:38 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Modena FC 2018 and Empoli FC, scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Modena FC 2018" if Modena FC 2018 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Empoli FC" if Empoli FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Modena FC 2018 and Empoli FC, scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Modena FC 2018" if Modena FC 2018 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Empoli FC" if Empoli FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the aggregated intelligence of all traders involved, creating a probabilistic forecast for which team will score first.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on determining which team, if any, scores the first goal in the Modena FC 2018 vs. Empoli FC match. Official match records will be used to verify the outcome. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the first team to score, based on the final share prices at the time of resolution. It is important to note that the outcome is determined by the actual event result, not by any subjective interpretation.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or even pre-match analysis from sports commentators could also play a role. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in social media trends or betting patterns at sportsbooks, might also impact trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market before Sep 20, 2026.