This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between Modena FC 2018 and Cesena FC scheduled for March 7, 2026. Three markets track the possible outcomes: Modena win, Cesena win, and draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi align on match outcome determination, timing scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time only), postponement handling, and cancellation logic across all three outcome markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the governing body (Lega Serie B) or credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion
Core resolution logic:
Match result determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
Modena win market resolves Yes if Modena scores more goals than Cesena, No otherwise
Cesena win market resolves Yes if Cesena scores more goals than Modena, No otherwise
Draw market resolves Yes if both teams score equal goals, No otherwise
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Modena and Cesena win markets resolve No, and draw market resolves Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is rescheduled and completed
Cancellation without makeup: Modena win and Cesena win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes
Delayed official statistics: If governing body does not publish final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used for resolution
Scope limitation: Only the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes on March 7, 2026, following 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Official statistics or consensus reporting must be available within 2 hours of match conclusion for immediate resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.