TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 3:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang match between Niightmare Esports and Team Falcons in the Mid Season Cup Wildcard Group B, initially scheduled for July 2 at 8:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Niightmare Esports" if Niightmare Esports win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Niightmare Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang match between Niightmare Esports and Team Falcons in the Mid Season Cup Wildcard Group B, initially scheduled for July 2 at 8:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Niightmare Esports" if Niightmare Esports win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Niightmare Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, depending on whether informed traders on Polymarket have different information or conviction than the broader betting public. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money disagrees with conventional oddsmaking.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective belief of all active traders at any given moment. As new information emerges—team roster changes, recent performance, or injury reports—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. Liquidity providers help ensure tight spreads, while arbitrageurs keep prices aligned with fundamental expectations, creating an efficient market price.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins the best-of-one contest in the Mid Season Cup Wildcard Group B stage. Your position settles based on the official match result reported by the esports governing body or tournament organizer. Early resolution is possible if the match is cancelled or forfeited, in which case the market outcome reflects that event status.
Key catalysts include roster announcements or player substitutions that affect team strength, recent tournament performance and win rates, and any public statements about team strategy or preparation. Patch updates to Mobile Legends Bang Bang can shift the meta and favor certain playstyles, influencing perceived matchup odds. Injury or availability news for star players, coaching changes, and head-to-head historical records also drive trader sentiment. Media coverage and analyst predictions may sway retail participants, while sharp traders react to subtle shifts in team form or scrim results closer to game day.