TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 12:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang Lower bracket final match between Geek Fam ID and Bigetron by Vitality in the MPL Indonesia Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 13 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Geek Fam ID" if Geek Fam ID win the match against Bigetron by Vitality. This market will resolve to "Bigetron by Vitality" if Bigetron by Vitality win the match against Geek Fam ID. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang Lower bracket final match between Geek Fam ID and Bigetron by Vitality in the MPL Indonesia Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 13 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Geek Fam ID" if Geek Fam ID win the match against Bigetron by Vitality. This market will resolve to "Bigetron by Vitality" if Bigetron by Vitality win the match against Geek Fam ID. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and risk management, then adjust them to balance their book. Prediction markets, by contrast, derive prices from the collective trading activity of many participants. This market's odds reflect what traders believe will happen, which can diverge from sportsbook lines depending on information flow, trader sophistication, and liquidity. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares that represent each possible outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market reflects a Game Handicap structure, with Bigetron priced at minus-1.5 games and Geek Fam ID at plus-1.5 games. As traders adjust their positions based on team news, scrim results, or meta shifts, the probability for each side moves accordingly. The price you see represents the marginal trader's belief about the match outcome, updated continuously throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jun 13, 2026, once the match concludes and the final result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the series score under the stated handicap format, with Bigetron needing to win by two or more games to cover the minus-1.5 line, while Geek Fam ID covers if they lose by one game or win outright. Resolution occurs after the official playoff bracket is updated and the result is confirmed through established esports news sources.
Several catalysts could shift odds before the match begins. Roster announcements, player substitutions, or last-minute lineup changes for either team would likely trigger repricing. Scrim results or performance clips circulating in the Mobile Legends community could influence trader sentiment. Meta shifts or patch updates affecting champion viability may favor one squad over the other. Injury or availability news, coaching changes, or public statements from team management could also move the market. Additionally, betting volume spikes or large trades by recognized sharp bettors often signal new information and prompt price adjustments.