TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$85,014,378

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,695,592

394,774

Markets across

30,069

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,615

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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MLS: Players to Join
kalshi

MLS: Players to Join

Volume:
$87,418

Robert Lewandowski

 - Kalshi

Robert Lewandowski - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 6, 1:17 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Robert Lewandowski

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,284
N/A
N/A
$4,373
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Casemiro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,366
N/A
N/A
$1,176
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Luka Modric

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,713
N/A
N/A
$9,413
Settled
No
kalshi

Mohamed Salah

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,538
N/A
N/A
$4,550
Settled
No
kalshi

Cristiano Ronaldo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,682
N/A
N/A
$7,437
Settled
No
kalshi

Neymar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,681
N/A
N/A
$4,209
Settled
No
kalshi

Lucas Moura

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,519
N/A
N/A
$3,026
Settled
No
kalshi

Manuel Neuer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,896
N/A
N/A
$2,576
Settled
No
kalshi

Harry Kane

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,761
N/A
N/A
$4,653
Settled
No
kalshi

Romelu Lukaku

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,482
N/A
N/A
$762
Settled
No
kalshi

Sergio Ramos

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,470
N/A
N/A
$2,336
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Pulisic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,296
N/A
N/A
$2,183
Settled
No
kalshi

Henrikh Mkhitaryan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,579
N/A
N/A
$1,482
Settled
No
kalshi

Karim Benzema

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,053
N/A
N/A
$1,999
Settled
No
kalshi

Francesco Acerbi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,703
N/A
N/A
$1,398
Settled
No
kalshi

Yann Sommer

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,031
N/A
N/A
$1,030
Settled
No
kalshi

Keylor Navas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$284
N/A
N/A
$211
Settled
No
kalshi

Angel Di Maria

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
$45
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Description

Several prominent professional football players may relocate to Major League Soccer between now and early September 2026.

Kalshi

Each player's market resolves to Yes if their next club becomes any MLS team before September 3, 2026, through permanent transfer (fee or free agent), loan arrangement, contract extension with an existing MLS club, or official pre-contract agreement for future MLS joining. If a player signs with an MLS club and is immediately loaned elsewhere, only the signing club resolves to Yes. If a player's contract expires without signing with any club, all markets resolve to No. Immediate re-signings or contract extensions with current MLS clubs also resolve to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time trader consensus on MLS player transfers, often differing from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks focus on betting volume and margin, while prediction markets aggregate belief through direct price discovery. For MLS: Players to Join, the prediction market captures longer-term transfer sentiment and less-liquid player moves that sportsbooks may not offer, making it a complementary signal to standard sports betting odds.

Key catalysts for MLS: Players to Join include official transfer announcements from MLS clubs, player statements confirming moves, media reports from credible soccer journalists, and league-wide roster deadlines. International player visa approvals, contract finalization timelines, and competing bids from other leagues can shift odds. Summer transfer window activity, coaching changes, and team injury updates also influence trader expectations about which players will ultimately join MLS before the Sep 3, 2026 resolution date.