TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 10:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will be considered part of the MLB regular season. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team has won 100 or more games within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will be considered part of the MLB regular season. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team has won 100 or more games within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their books and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate forecasts than traditional odds, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by public betting patterns, potentially leading to convergence with this market in some cases, though that isn’t always guaranteed.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final regular season standings for the 2026 MLB season will be used to determine which teams, if any, achieved 100 or more wins. The resolution will be based on official MLB statistics and records, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcomes. The market will settle to 100% for any team that reaches the 100-win threshold.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major player injuries, unexpected team performance shifts, and significant trades are all potential catalysts. A team acquiring a star player could see its chances of exceeding 100 wins increase, while a key injury could have the opposite effect. Early-season performance, particularly how teams fare against strong opponents, will also be closely watched. Any news impacting a team’s roster or overall competitiveness could lead to shifts in trading volume and price adjustments within this market.