TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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MLB: Most Home Runs (Team)
kalshi
polymarket

Which team will hit the most home runs?

Volume:
$682,191

Houston

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 9:24 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Houston

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,607
N/A
N/A
$3,470
Settled
Yes
polymarket

MLB: Team to Hit the Most Home Runs

View
100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,991
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 9h
Yes
polymarket

MLB: Team to Hit the Most Home Runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$157,011
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 9h
No
kalshi

Boston

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

MLB: Team to Hit the Most Home Runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95,313
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 9h
No
kalshi

Texas

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

MLB: Team to Hit the Most Home Runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94,776
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 9h
No
kalshi

Toronto

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

MLB: Team to Hit the Most Home Runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,284
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 9h
No
kalshi

Miami

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

MLB: Team to Hit the Most Home Runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,170
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 9h
No
kalshi

Cleveland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
polymarket

MLB: Team to Hit the Most Home Runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,787
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 9h
No
kalshi

Detroit

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
polymarket

MLB: Team to Hit the Most Home Runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,101
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 9h
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,258
N/A
N/A
$10,469
Settled
No
polymarket

MLB: Team to Hit the Most Home Runs

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,639
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 9h
No
kalshi

New York Y

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,871
N/A
N/A
$7,843
Settled
No
polymarket

MLB: Team to Hit the Most Home Runs

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,344
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 9h
No
kalshi

Chicago C

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,717
N/A
N/A
$6,157
Settled
No
polymarket

MLB: Team to Hit the Most Home Runs

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,334
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 9h
No
polymarket

MLB: Team to Hit the Most Home Runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,333
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 9h
No
kalshi

Chicago WS

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,190
N/A
N/A
$890
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles D

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,683
N/A
N/A
$2,405
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 66

Intro

This market tracks which Major League Baseball team will hit the most home runs during the 2026 regular season. Currently, the consensus probability favors the Houston Astros to lead the league with 75.0%, while the New York Yankees are at 12.5%. This aggregated view combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on whether Washington records the most home runs in the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season, according to the stated resolution criteria. Keep an eye on team performance and player acquisitions leading up to the resolution date estimate of October 12, 2026, which marks the end of the regular season.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi lists all teams individually, while Polymarket focuses on specific teams and includes an 'Other' option, creating a difference in market structure and potential outcomes.Hero tip: Consider the implications of the 'Other' option on Polymarket and the broader range of potential winners on Kalshi when making trading decisions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Polymarket presents individual team questions and an 'Other' option. Resolution prioritizes home runs, then runs, then run differential, and finally alphabetical order in case of ties. Source: MLB official data.
  • Kalshi: Kalshi lists every MLB team as a potential 'Yes' outcome. Resolution is simply based on which team hits the most home runs. No explicit tiebreaker is stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the team that hits the most home runs during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the team that scores the most runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with the higher run differential during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the most home runs cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

This event determines which team records the highest total home runs during the 2026 Pro Baseball regular season. If multiple teams tie for the most home runs, payouts are distributed equally among tied teams, with each receiving $1 divided by the number of tied participants (rounded down to the nearest cent), while non-winning markets receive the remainder. Resolution uses official regular season statistics only.

Frequently asked questions

Several factors could significantly impact the prices in this market. Major player injuries, trades, or changes in team lineups could all shift expectations regarding a team’s home run hitting potential. Unexpectedly strong or weak performances from key players early in the season will also influence the market. Additionally, changes in ballpark dimensions or weather patterns could play a role. Monitoring these events and their potential impact on team performance is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on movements in this market.