TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 9:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks which team will win the 2026 MLB National League West division, and on Polymarket the probability that the Los Angeles Dodgers will claim the title stands at 98.5%, while the San Diego Padres are at 1.1%. Resolution will be based on official MLB declarations. The outcome will be confirmed following the conclusion of the 2026 MLB regular season on October 11, 2026, so keep an eye on that date for the final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB National League West division. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 National League West division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The market resolves on Oct 11, 2026 following the conclusion of the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season and playoffs. The outcome is determined by which team finishes with the best record in the National League West division. Once the final standings are official, the winning team's contract resolves to 100 cents and all other outcomes resolve to zero, paying out traders who correctly predicted the division champion.
Key catalysts include player trades and free-agent signings that reshape roster strength, major injuries to star players or pitchers, mid-season performance trends and win-loss records, managerial changes, and playoff positioning races in late August and September. Unexpected trades at the deadline, breakout rookie performances, or collapse by a favored team can shift probabilities sharply. Regular season results, head-to-head matchups between division rivals, and emerging contenders will continuously influence market pricing through October 2026.