TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 5:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the likelihood of Málaga CF scoring over 0.5 goals in the second half of their La Liga match against Villarreal CF. Currently, the consensus probability of Málaga CF scoring over 0.5 goals in the second half is 100.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Polymarket and Predict, and will be resolved using official statistics from laliga.com. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the outcome will be determined by the final score reported after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on September 17, 2026.
More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for September 17 at 3:30 PM ET.
More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for September 17 at 3:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's significant public information or disagreement about the likely outcome. The efficiency of prediction markets can sometimes result in more accurate probabilities, though both sources provide valuable insights for informed decision-making.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Each platform attracts a different set of participants with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can impact the bid-ask spread and overall price. For example, Polymarket currently favors O/U 0.5 at 98%, while Predict leans toward the same outcome, but with differing volume. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies.