TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 5:45 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Málaga CF and Villarreal CF, scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Málaga CF" if Málaga CF are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Villarreal CF" if Villarreal CF are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Málaga CF and Villarreal CF, scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Málaga CF" if Málaga CF are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Villarreal CF" if Villarreal CF are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing expectations regarding which team will score first in the first half.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on determining which team, if any, scores the first goal in the first half of the Málaga CF versus Villarreal CF match. The official match records will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome. The market will then settle to 100% probability for the correct outcome and 0% for all others, reflecting the definitive result of the first half.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Málaga CF or Villarreal CF would likely cause shifts in the odds. A late change in the starting lineups, particularly if a star striker is unavailable, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions at the stadium, or even pre-match tactical announcements from either manager, could also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media buzz, could also influence the probabilities offered in this market.