TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Málaga CF and UD Las Palmas.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets (Las Palmas win, Málaga win, draw) that collectively cover all possible outcomes, while Kalshi presents three markets that each resolve YES for different outcomes, creating logical impossibility where all three Kalshi markets would resolve YES simultaneously for any match result.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across these platforms assuming equivalent coverage. Polymarket's three markets are designed so exactly one resolves YES. Kalshi's three markets will all resolve YES regardless of match outcome, making them unsuitable for directional betting. Clarify with Kalshi whether these are meant to be a single combined market or if the resolution logic contains an error.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome (Las Palmas win, Málaga win, or draw) will resolve YES and the other two resolve NO. Each market has independent YES/NO logic: 'If UD Las Palmas wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' for the Las Palmas market, with identical exclusive logic for Málaga and draw markets.Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi presents three markets that each resolve YES for different outcomes, but the resolution structure creates a logical contradiction. Market 1 resolves YES if Las Palmas wins, Market 2 resolves YES if the result is a tie, and Market 3 resolves YES if Málaga wins. Since the match must produce exactly one of these three outcomes, all three Kalshi markets will resolve YES simultaneously, violating standard prediction market design where outcomes should be mutually exclusive or clearly defined as a combined pool.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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