TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas
polymarket
kalshi

Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas

Volume:
$60,782

Malaga

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 12, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Malaga

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,519
N/A
N/A
$8,385
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Málaga CF

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,234
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,917
N/A
N/A
$7,311
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,730
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Palmas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,823
N/A
N/A
$5,423
Settled
No
polymarket

UD Las Palmas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,559
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Málaga CF and UD Las Palmas.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets (Las Palmas win, Málaga win, draw) that collectively cover all possible outcomes, while Kalshi presents three markets that each resolve YES for different outcomes, creating logical impossibility where all three Kalshi markets would resolve YES simultaneously for any match result.Hero tip: Do not trade across these platforms assuming equivalent coverage. Polymarket's three markets are designed so exactly one resolves YES. Kalshi's three markets will all resolve YES regardless of match outcome, making them unsuitable for directional betting. Clarify with Kalshi whether these are meant to be a single combined market or if the resolution logic contains an error.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome (Las Palmas win, Málaga win, or draw) will resolve YES and the other two resolve NO. Each market has independent YES/NO logic: 'If UD Las Palmas wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' for the Las Palmas market, with identical exclusive logic for Málaga and draw markets.
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi presents three markets that each resolve YES for different outcomes, but the resolution structure creates a logical contradiction. Market 1 resolves YES if Las Palmas wins, Market 2 resolves YES if the result is a tie, and Market 3 resolves YES if Málaga wins. Since the match must produce exactly one of these three outcomes, all three Kalshi markets will resolve YES simultaneously, violating standard prediction market design where outcomes should be mutually exclusive or clearly defined as a combined pool.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.