TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Málaga CF vs. Real Valladolid CF
Volume:
$171,903
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional La Liga 2 soccer match between Málaga CF and Real Valladolid CF scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets track three possible outcomes: Málaga win, Real Valladolid win, or draw, with resolution based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation resolution logic differs between Polymarket and Kalshi. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation while win markets resolve No, whereas Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation scenarios across its three outcome markets.Hero Tip:
Traders should seek written confirmation from both platforms on cancellation handling before match day. The divergence creates potential for one platform to resolve while another remains open or resolves inconsistently. Monitor official La Liga 2 communications for any postponement or cancellation notices.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no make-up; both win markets resolve No if canceled with no make-up. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs 'this market will resolve No' (win markets). All three markets reference official La Liga statistics within 2 hours post-event, or credible reporting consensus as fallback.
- Kalshi: Three outcome markets (Malaga win, Tie, Valladolid win) with no explicit cancellation clause. Each resolves Yes if its condition is met after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Quote: 'If Malaga wins...then the market resolves to Yes' (and similarly for Tie and Valladolid). No fallback source or cancellation protocol is stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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