TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 8:52 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between MŠK Žilina and GKS GieKSa Katowice, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "MŠK Žilina" if MŠK Žilina score more goals than GKS GieKSa Katowice in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if MŠK Žilina and GKS GieKSa Katowice score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "GKS GieKSa Katowice" if GKS GieKSa Katowice score more goals than MŠK Žilina in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between MŠK Žilina and GKS GieKSa Katowice, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "MŠK Žilina" if MŠK Žilina score more goals than GKS GieKSa Katowice in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if MŠK Žilina and GKS GieKSa Katowice score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "GKS GieKSa Katowice" if GKS GieKSa Katowice score more goals than MŠK Žilina in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have financial skin in the game. In this market, traders' real-money commitments can sometimes reveal information or sentiment that sportsbooks have not yet fully priced in. Comparing the two can highlight where the crowd sees value or where consensus differs from bookmaker positioning.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of shares held in the pool, with prices adjusting dynamically as new trades flow in. Traders profit by correctly predicting the second-half result, and the share price moves continuously to balance supply and demand. This mechanism ensures transparent, real-time pricing without a central bookmaker setting fixed lines.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals in the second half alone, independent of the first-half score. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, pending confirmation of the official match result.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts announced before kickoff, which can reshape expectations for second-half performance. In-game momentum during the first half—goals, red cards, or dominant possession—often influences how traders reassess the second-half outlook. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and substitution patterns can also shift sentiment. Major betting syndicates or sharp traders entering the market with large positions may trigger rapid repricing as new information or conviction flows in.