TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 9:31 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between MŠK Žilina and GKS GieKSa Katowice, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "MŠK Žilina" if MŠK Žilina are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "GKS GieKSa Katowice" if GKS GieKSa Katowice are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between MŠK Žilina and GKS GieKSa Katowice, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "MŠK Žilina" if MŠK Žilina are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "GKS GieKSa Katowice" if GKS GieKSa Katowice are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probability quotes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—typically representing individual players or a catch-all "other" option—trades as a separate contract, and the sum of all outcome prices equals one dollar. As traders buy or sell contracts, the price adjusts instantly to reflect the new consensus. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to breaking news, team lineups, or injury updates right up until the match begins.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources such as official match records or major sports data providers. Whichever player is credited with the opening goal determines the winning contract; if no goal is scored, the market may resolve to "no goal" or "other" depending on the platform's rules. Resolution typically occurs within hours of final whistle.
Team lineups and injury announcements are the strongest catalysts for price swings in this market. If a key striker is ruled out or unexpectedly starts, odds for remaining forwards will shift sharply. Weather conditions, recent form, and head-to-head scoring patterns also influence trader positioning. Late-breaking tactical changes or manager statements about formation can trigger repricing minutes before kickoff. Additionally, if either team's odds to win the match change dramatically, first-scorer probabilities often follow, since stronger teams typically create more early chances.