TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 6:32 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between MŠK Žilina and GKS GieKSa Katowice, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the MŠK Žilina vs. GKS GieKSa Katowice match originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between MŠK Žilina and GKS GieKSa Katowice, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the MŠK Žilina vs. GKS GieKSa Katowice match originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this market, comparing the implied probabilities on Polymarket to traditional sportsbook lines can reveal whether traders are pricing outcomes differently than bookmakers. Prediction markets sometimes incorporate information faster or reflect sharper analytical consensus, making the comparison useful for identifying potential value or consensus shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds for each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific scorelines, and the cumulative order flow determines the probability implied by each outcome's price. As more capital flows into a particular scoreline, its price rises and others adjust downward. This continuous mechanism ensures that prices reflect the collective conviction of active traders throughout the market's lifetime.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the final scoreline is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official result. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information emerges—team news, weather conditions, or live match developments. Resolution is automatic once the event is complete and the exact score is publicly established, at which time winning shares are paid out according to the final scoreline.
Several catalysts can shift prices in this market before Jul 23, 2026. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—often triggers sharp repricing of likely scorelines. Pre-match analysis and expert commentary can sway trader sentiment toward higher or lower-scoring outcomes. Live match developments, including early goals or red cards, will cause rapid repricing as the event unfolds. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form updates may also influence how traders assess the probability of specific scorelines, creating trading opportunities for those monitoring these signals closely.