TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 3:01 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional Allsvenskan soccer match between Mjallby and Vasteraas scheduled for July 17, 2026. The outcome is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Mjallby vs Vasteraas professional Allsvenskan soccer game originally scheduled for July 17, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each outcome—Mjallby win, Vasteraas win, or tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real money on outcomes. This market may show materially different probabilities than major sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or as the event date approaches. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on Kalshi sees value that bookmakers have missed.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective willingness to buy or sell at that level, and the implied probability is derived directly from the share price. As new trades execute, prices update in real time, allowing the market to incorporate breaking news, team news, or shifts in trader conviction instantly.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the final score and official match records. Until that point, prices will fluctuate as traders adjust their positions based on team form, injuries, weather, and other factors that may influence the game.
Key catalysts include team news such as player injuries, lineup changes, or managerial decisions announced before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings can shift trader sentiment as the event approaches. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any late-breaking developments in either squad's preparation may also trigger sharp price moves. Traders often react quickly to official team sheets and pre-match commentary, so watch for announcements in the final hours before the match begins.