TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 1:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This Champions League soccer match between Mjallby and Lincoln Red Imps is scheduled for July 21, 2026. The event covers various goal differential outcomes during the 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
Resolution is based on the final goal differential at the end of regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties) in the Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps Champions League match scheduled for July 21, 2026. Separate markets track whether Mjallby wins by more than 2.5 goals, Mjallby wins by more than 1.5 goals, Lincoln Red Imps wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Lincoln Red Imps wins by more than 2.5 goals. Each outcome resolves independently based on the actual goal differential achieved during regulation time only.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market aggregates real-money positions from many participants, which can reveal crowd sentiment that differs from traditional betting lines. Comparing the two can highlight where independent traders see value relative to established sportsbook spreads.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different spread outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market reflects the collective belief of all active traders, with prices ranging between 0 and 100 based on perceived probability. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, the price adjusts in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at market rates that evolve throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, once the Mjallby versus Lincoln Red Imps match concludes and the final regulation time score is verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public reporting of the official match result. Traders holding positions aligned with the actual spread at full time will receive payouts, while those on the opposite side will not. The resolution process is automated once the verified result is available.
Key catalysts for price movement include team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts announced before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions can all influence trader expectations of the final margin. As match day approaches, any official updates from either club or changes in betting market consensus may prompt repricing. Live match developments, if trading remains open during play, could also shift positions based on early performance and momentum.