TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many touchdowns each team scores through passes caught by their players during a college football game. The outcomes depend solely on the number of such plays, with specific thresholds defined for each team.
All markets resolve based on the official number of receiving touchdowns scored by each team in the Missouri vs Mississippi St. college football game scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, including any touchdowns scored in overtime. A receiving touchdown is counted only when the player who catches the pass scores the touchdown themselves; if another player recovers a fumble and scores, it does not count as a receiving touchdown. Successful 2-point conversions, regardless of when they occur, are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a forward-looking assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which teams score touchdowns during the Missouri vs Mississippi State game. Official game statistics will be used to determine the number of touchdowns scored by each team, and this information will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The final result will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Missouri or Mississippi State teams would likely cause movement, as would significant changes in weather forecasts. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, as the game approaches, any shifts in public perception or expert predictions regarding the likely outcome could drive changes in the odds, reflecting the evolving expectations of market participants.